◆ +EV VALUE BETTING · FULLY TRACKED

Every pick, graded.
Winners and losers — nothing hidden.

We bet soft US sportsbooks only when the price beats the sharp Pinnacle line. Below is the complete record of every first-entry game pick — not a highlight reel.

Blended · all markets
+8.0%
96 graded picks · 49–47 · 51% win
Net profit
+8.9u
net units · across 96 graded picks
Tracking window
Jun 7–25
2026 · auto-graded daily

Reported per market, not as one number — moneyline, spread and totals are priced differently and have not behaved the same in this sample.

Cumulative profit
+8.9u
96 picks · Jun 7 → Jun 25, 2026
How it works
🎯

Value, not locks

We scan 8 NY sportsbooks and bet only when a price beats the sharp Pinnacle fair line. No "lock of the day" — just a measurable edge in the number.

📉

Low win rate by design

Value bets win around half the time — the edge is in the price, not the frequency. That's why ROI, not win rate, is the number that matters.

🔓

Nothing hidden

Every pick is logged the moment it's published and graded automatically. The full sample — every losing day included — is on this page.

By market
MarketPicksW–LWin %ROIP&L
Every pick · graded
DatePickLeagueMkt BookOddsResultP&L
Read this before you judge the numbers
This is a model record. Every qualifying pick is graded at the price it was posted (no slippage assumed) and settled automatically — wins, losses, pushes and all. A 96-pick sample over 19 days is enough to be transparent, not enough to be certain.
Read each market on its own. Moneyline, spread and totals are set by different desks and have diverged in this sample. A single blended ROI can average away a segment that is losing money, so the headline is split by market and the full breakdown is in the table above. No pick is ever removed or re-priced after the fact — when the rules change, the record is segmented by date instead.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Variance is real and these figures can and will swing. This page is informational / entertainment content — not betting advice or a promise of profit.